AA 2304 · ICT → DFW

departs 4:24 PM CT · arrives 5:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

85% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
11%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
25%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ICT that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

Weather at each end

ICT (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.88 in

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip5.38 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2304 · ICT → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?