AA 2333 · DFW → SFO

departs 5:31 PM CT · arrives 7:19 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

86% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
13%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
24%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip5.38 in

SFO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2333 · DFW → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?