AA 2348 · DFW → TUL

departs 8:34 AM CT · arrives 9:55 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
25%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into TUL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

TUL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.64 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2348 · DFW → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?