AA 2403 · DFW → ATL

departs 4:06 PM CT · arrives 7:36 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,233 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.66 in

ATL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2403 · DFW → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?