Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2477SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 2477 · SAN → PHX
departs 12:46 PM PT · arrives 2:16 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
41%chance · ±3 pts+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.