AA 2496 · DFW → PDX

departs 11:18 AM CT · arrives 1:34 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
20%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.18 in

PDX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2496 · DFW → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?