AA 2544 · DFW → TYS

departs 9:33 AM CT · arrives 12:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±4 pts +27 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
31%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
23%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.00 in

TYS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2544 · DFW → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?