Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2622SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2622 · TUS → PHX
departs 5:45 AM MT · arrives 6:36 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 37h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
6%chance · ±0 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.