AA 2664 · DFW → PIT

departs 10:49 AM CT · arrives 2:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

83% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
10%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
40%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.11 in

PIT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2664 · DFW → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?