AA 2671 · ORD → PIT

departs 5:25 PM CT · arrives 8:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

74% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 5pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.91 in

PIT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2671 · ORD → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?