AA 2673 · DFW → VPS

departs 4:37 PM CT · arrives 6:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?

75% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to VPS?

On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
23%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ VPS usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.74 in

VPS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2673 · DFW → VPS

Odds over time

How late will it get to VPS?