Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2689SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 2689 · PHX → JFK
departs 9:15 AM MT · arrives 5:28 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
14%chance · ±2 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.