AA 2759 · DFW → SAT

departs 9:02 AM CT · arrives 10:26 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

79% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
29%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.84 in

SAT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip2.75 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2759 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?