AA 2759 · SAT → DFW

departs 10:45 AM CT · arrives 12:09 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

67% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ SAT usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.52 in

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.93 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2759 · SAT → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?