Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2807SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2807 · TPA → PHL
departs 10:59 AM ET · arrives 1:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±3 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.