tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2859 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AA 2859 · TPA → LGA

departs 6:12 AM ET · arrives 9:00 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    89%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.