Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2871SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 2871 · PHX → PIT
departs 3:46 PM MT · arrives 10:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
33%chance · ±1 pts+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.