AA 2881 · ORD → FLL

departs 5:05 PM CT · arrives 9:13 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

75% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
37%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ 5pm departures from ORD are often late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.76 in

FLL (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.68 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2881 · ORD → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?