Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2925SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2925 · PHL → ORD
departs 12:42 PM ET · arrives 2:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
30%chance · ±7 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.