Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2950 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

AA 2950 · PNS → DFW

departs 12:11 PM CT · arrives 2:20 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 1 mi, 6.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

DFW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2950 · PNS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?