AA 2956 · DFW → ONT

departs 10:49 AM CT · arrives 12:10 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ONT?

On time or early
13%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
33%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

ONT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2956 · DFW → ONT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ONT?