Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2975SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2975 · MCO → DFW
departs 6:30 AM ET · arrives 8:29 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
26%chance · ±8 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.