Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3022SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 3022 · BOS → ORD
departs 10:30 AM ET · arrives 12:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±8 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.