Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3025 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

AA 3025 · DFW → EGE

departs 5:30 PM CT · arrives 6:50 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at EGE more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±5 pts −15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EGE?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EGE

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.58 in

EGE (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3025 · DFW → EGE

Odds over time

How late will it get to EGE?