AA 3030 · DFW → MCI

departs 3:11 PM CT · arrives 5:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

83% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
15%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
27%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.84 in

MCI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.62 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3030 · DFW → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?