AA 3050 · MFE → DFW

departs 11:29 AM CT · arrives 1:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

83% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
12%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
28%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ MFE usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MFE (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3050 · MFE → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?