AA 3060 · SAN → DFW

departs 3:21 PM PT · arrives 8:43 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at SAN that day

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip2.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3060 · SAN → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?