AA 3099 · DFW → OKC

departs 10:49 AM CT · arrives 12:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

84% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
8%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
51%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 10am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Arrivals into OKC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.07 in

OKC (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3099 · DFW → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?