AA 310 · DFW → GRR

departs 1:03 PM CT · arrives 4:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.0 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at GRR that day

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.98 in

GRR (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.86 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 310 · DFW → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?