tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 319 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 319 · PHX → ORD

departs 8:30 AM MT · arrives 2:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
26% chance · ±5 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.8d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.