Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 31 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AA 31 · LAX → HNL

departs 8:03 AM PT · arrives 10:53 AM HT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 31 · LAX → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?