AA 3248 · PIT → PHL

departs 8:24 AM ET · arrives 9:55 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 47% of the time recently

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,833 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3248 · PIT → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?