AA 3273 · DFW → LAX

departs 9:27 AM CT · arrives 10:44 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
18%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,167 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at LAX that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.19 in

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3273 · DFW → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?