AA 399 · DFW → ANC

departs 3:09 PM CT · arrives 7:27 PM AKT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.17 in

ANC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 399 · DFW → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?