AA 410 · DFW → BOS

departs 4:45 PM CT · arrives 9:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

65% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 4.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at DFW that day

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ BOS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip4.18 in

BOS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 410 · DFW → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?