Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 415SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 415 · DFW → PHL
departs 7:30 AM CT · arrives 11:52 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
25%chance · ±1 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.