tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 481 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 481 · DFW → JFK

departs 11:46 AM CT · arrives 4:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
52% chance · ±1 pts +11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.8d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JFK?

  1. On time or early
    43%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    25%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    10%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    9%
  6. Cancelled
    10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.