Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 650 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Yesterday

AA 650 · CLE → LAX

departs 6:43 PM ET · arrives 8:26 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at LAX that day

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLE (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 650 · CLE → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?