Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 685 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AA 685 · DFW → PDX

departs 4:37 PM CT · arrives 6:41 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±6 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.0 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.98 in

PDX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 685 · DFW → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?