Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 690 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AA 690 · DFW → DTW

departs 7:55 PM CT · arrives 11:40 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±6 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.74 in

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 690 · DFW → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?