Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 693 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AA 693 · PHX → HNL

departs 8:46 AM MT · arrives 12:30 PM HT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 693 · PHX → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?