AA 791 · DFW → SAT

departs 1:52 PM CT · arrives 3:15 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

67% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,233 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,233 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.66 in

SAT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precip1.42 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 791 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?