AA 823 · ORD → CHS

departs 7:37 PM CT · arrives 10:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

75% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
43%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 7pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at CHS that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.99 in

CHS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 823 · ORD → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?