Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 844SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 844 · DFW → TPA
departs 5:19 PM CT · arrives 8:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
74%chance · ±6 pts−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.