Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 9 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AA 9 · DFW → ABQ

departs 2:26 PM CT · arrives 3:15 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±8 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.74 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 9 · DFW → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?