Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1091 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AS 1091 · ITO → HNL

departs 5:59 PM HT · arrives 6:52 PM HT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ ITO usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ITO that day

Weather at each end

ITO (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1091 · ITO → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?