tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1127 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 1127 · KOA → HNL

departs 4:33 PM HT · arrives 5:20 PM HT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to HNL?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.