Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1183 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Today

AS 1183 · HNL → LIH

departs 9:15 AM HT · arrives 9:56 AM HT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LIH?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ LIH is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ 9am departures from HNL are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into LIH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.33 in

LIH (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1183 · HNL → LIH

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIH?