Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1370 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AS 1370 · PDX → AUS

departs 5:39 PM PT · arrives 11:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±5 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from PDX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip1.67 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1370 · PDX → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?