AS 1550 · BUR → PDX

departs 2:15 PM PT · arrives 4:35 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

Weather at each end

BUR (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1550 · BUR → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?